StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka v Jan-Lennard Struff

2026-10-31 16:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka (Heim)

Prognose 64.90%1.54faire Quote
EV -2.65%
Vorteil -1.77%
Kelly -5.30%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.50%64.91%64.89%66.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.86%68.97%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.10%2.85faire Quote
EV +1.09%
Vorteil +0.379%
Kelly +0.581%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.79%35.09%35.11%37.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.682.702.8840.00%37.33%37.04%34.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Jiri Lehecka (Heim): 64.90%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Auswärts): 35.10%. Für Jan-Lennard Struff (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.85. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.88 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.09%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV +1.09%E +0.379%K +0.581%G +0.006%2.7%2026-10-31 02:05
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.72%E -0.613%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 02:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -2.77%E -1.000%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -2.77%E -1.000%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 02:05
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.77%E -1.000%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:29
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 01:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 02:04
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 02:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 02:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 02:05
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.17%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.52%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-30 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.52%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 02:05
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 02:05
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 22:30
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:30
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:30
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 21:29
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.96%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.04%EV -6.28%E -2.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-30 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.98%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.65%E -1.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 22:30
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 22:35
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.68%E -2.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 21:29
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.65%E -1.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.03%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.03%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 01:15
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 01:19
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 02:05
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 21:29
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 02:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.49%E -6.02%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-30 21:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 22:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.65%E -1.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 01:15
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.65%E -1.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 01:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-10-31 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-10-31 02:05
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-10-31 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-10-31 02:05
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-10-31 02:00
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-10-31 02:00
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-10-31 02:05