Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jerome Kym v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-10-27 11:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

54%

46%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jerome Kym (Local)

Predicción 54.32%1.84momio equitativo

EV -1.69%

Ventaja -0.932%

Kelly -2.08%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

52.74%54.35%54.32%56.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.651.731.731.8160.61%57.83%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)

Predicción 45.68%2.19momio equitativo

EV +0.504%

Ventaja +0.229%

Kelly +0.420%

Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

43.73%45.65%45.68%47.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.922.072.082.2052.08%48.33%48.08%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jerome Kym (Local): 54.32%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 45.68%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.19. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.504%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.504%E +0.229%K +0.420%G +0.002%	3.9%	2026-10-26 05:06
BetAnything🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.504%E +0.229%K +0.420%G +0.002%	3.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.504%E +0.229%K +0.420%G +0.002%	3.9%	2026-10-26 05:06
Pinnacle🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.866%E -0.399%K -0.740%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-26 05:46
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.866%E -0.399%K -0.740%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-26 05:45
Bovada🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.78%E -0.828%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-26 05:04
Coolbet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-26 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-26 05:46
Betway🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-26 05:13
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-26 06:00
PlayUp🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-26 05:20
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.12%E -4.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-26 05:29
TAB🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.06%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-26 05:05
Bet Right🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-26 05:12
Unibet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
betPARX🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:06
BetRivers🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-26 05:55
BetUS🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.43%E -2.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-26 05:13
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-26 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-26 05:31
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-26 05:05
Fanatics🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-26 05:45
Betr (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-26 05:13
Neds🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-26 05:49
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-26 05:49
Betsson🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.81%E -3.34%K -6.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-26 07:49
NordicBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.81%E -3.34%K -6.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-26 07:55
FanDuel🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.69%E -0.932%K -2.08%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.72%E -3.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-26 05:04
SportsBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.32%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.72%E -3.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.72%E -3.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-26 05:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.63%E -4.32%K -8.63%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-26 05:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.63%E -4.32%K -8.63%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.63%E -4.32%K -8.63%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-26 05:25
LeoVegas🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.63%E -4.32%K -8.63%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-26 06:09
PMU (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -10.00%E -5.08%K -10.31%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-10-26 05:05
ReBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -10.46%E -5.34%K -10.90%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-26 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.37%E -5.86%K -12.10%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-10-26 05:55
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.33%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -12.29%E -6.40%K -13.36%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-10-26 05:31

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-10-26 05:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-10-26 05:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-10-26 05:06
Novig◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%	1.6%	2026-10-26 05:05
ProphetX◎	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%	1.8%	2026-10-26 07:41
Matchbook◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%	3.2%	2026-10-26 05:45