La escuela de los momios

Jenson Brooksby v Martin Damm Jr.

Inicio: 2026-06-16 13:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Predicción 41.61%2.40momio equitativo
EV -0.147%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%41.63%41.46%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.39%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Martin Damm Jr. (Visitante)

Predicción 58.39%1.71momio equitativo
EV +0.439%
Ventaja +0.255%
Kelly +0.609%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%58.37%58.54%59.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.631.7264.52%61.44%61.35%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%EV +0.439%E +0.255%K +0.609%G +0.003%1.6%2026-06-16 13:25
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.63%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 13:30
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 13:30
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:29
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:29
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:30
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:29
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:25
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 13:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 13:30
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:24
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:30
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:30
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.30%E -4.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 13:30
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.147%E -0.061%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 13:30
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:24
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:30
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:23
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 13:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 13:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:30
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:31
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 13:31
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:27
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:30
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.74%E -4.90%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 13:26
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:30
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.49%E -6.12%K -17.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 13:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-06-16 13:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-16 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-16 13:30
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-06-16 13:30
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-06-16 13:31
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-06-16 13:31