La scuola delle quote

Hamad Medjedovic v Ugo Humbert

Inizio: 2026-06-18 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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39 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Casa)

Previsione 39.08%2.56quota equa
EV +0.431%
Vantaggio +0.168%
Kelly +0.274%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.16%39.00%39.14%40.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.412.402.5743.48%41.52%41.67%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ugo Humbert (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.92%1.64quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -4.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.28%61.00%60.86%62.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.551.561.6065.79%64.31%64.10%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV +0.431%E +0.168%K +0.274%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -7.40%E -4.87%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 17:30
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.13%E -0.448%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 17:31
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.13%E -0.448%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-18 17:50
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.13%E -0.448%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-18 17:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.30%E -0.922%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 17:00
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.30%E -0.922%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 17:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.30%E -0.922%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 17:00
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 17:00
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%EV -4.65%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -7.40%E -4.87%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 17:00
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 17:20
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 17:20
Betclic (FR)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 17:41
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 16:59
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 16:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 17:00
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 17:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.40%E -4.87%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 17:20
ReBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.60%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 16:59
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 17:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 17:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 16:59
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 17:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 17:00
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 16:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.38%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 17:10
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.38%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 17:10
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.53%E -1.58%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 16:59
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 17:10
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 17:10
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.40%E -4.87%K -14.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 16:59
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-18 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-18 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-18 17:31
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-18 17:31
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-06-18 17:50
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-06-18 17:31