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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Nuno Borges v Moise Kouame

Inizio: 2026-11-03 12:17 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nuno Borges (Casa)

Previsione 57.54%1.74quota equa
EV -0.455%
Vantaggio -0.263%
Kelly -0.624%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%57.52%57.63%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.651.651.7365.36%60.71%60.61%57.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Moise Kouame (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.46%2.36quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.459%
Kelly -0.804%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.18%42.48%42.37%45.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.222.232.3350.00%45.08%44.84%42.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nuno Borges (Casa): 57.54%; Moise Kouame (Trasferta): 42.46%. Per Nuno Borges (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.74. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.73, con un valore atteso del -0.455%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.455%E -0.263%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.83%E -5.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.18%E -1.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.44%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 10:49
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -7.01%E -3.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-03 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.44%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-03 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 11:20
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 11:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 10:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.71%E -4.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.71%E -4.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.83%E -5.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-03 10:45
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.07%E -0.459%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 11:45
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-03 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 11:10
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 10:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 10:31
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 10:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.71%E -4.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-03 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.71%E -4.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-03 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 11:25
picklebet_au🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.71%E -4.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-03 11:10
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-03 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-03 11:43
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -9.09%E -5.75%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -7.86%E -3.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-03 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.53%EV -6.16%E -2.79%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-03 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.96%E -7.82%K -22.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.34%EV -15.08%E -7.54%K -15.08%G +0.000%15.4%2026-11-03 11:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-11-03 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-11-03 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-11-03 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-11-03 11:50
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-11-03 11:55
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%3.0%2026-11-03 11:50
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%3.7%2026-11-03 11:55