La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Luca Van Assche v Ben Shelton

2026-11-07 13:30 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Luca Van Assche (Local)

Predicción 25.55%3.91momio equitativo
EV +2.20%
Ventaja +0.551%
Kelly +0.735%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.58%25.57%27.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.30%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Predicción 74.45%1.34momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -10.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%74.42%74.43%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.281.3081.97%78.47%78.13%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Luca Van Assche (Local): 25.55%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 74.45%. Para Luca Van Assche (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.91. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.20%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.20%E +0.551%K +0.735%G +0.016%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.94%E -5.55%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-06 20:30
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.71%EV +0.415%E +0.106%K +0.142%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-06 21:10
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -0.351%E -0.090%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-06 20:10
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.351%E -0.090%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.19%E -4.92%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-06 20:00
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.351%E -0.090%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.19%E -4.92%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-06 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.607%E -0.156%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-06 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.607%E -0.156%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-06 20:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.91%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.94%E -5.55%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 21:55
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 20:10
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 19:30
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 20:10
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 23:50
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-06 19:09
GTbets🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -4.95%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-06 20:45
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 22:05
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:01
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 23:05
Fanatics🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 21:19
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 21:20
1xBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.22%E -2.47%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-06 20:15
SportsBet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -6.48%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-06 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-06 19:50
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.19%E -4.92%K -23.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -9.17%E -7.52%K -41.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 20:35
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.22%E -2.47%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 19:09
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 19:10
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 19:25
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 19:45
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 19:25
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 19:10
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.94%E -5.55%K -27.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.94%E -5.55%K -27.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-06 20:10
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.68%E -6.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -9.29%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -9.17%E -7.52%K -41.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-06 20:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.22%E -2.47%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-06 19:30
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.71%E -3.68%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-06 21:30
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.19%E -4.92%K -23.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 21:20
picklebet_au🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.94%E -5.55%K -27.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.43%E -6.85%K -36.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-06 23:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -11.85%E -3.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -7.68%E -6.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.22%E -2.47%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 19:10
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-06 20:19
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-06 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -7.68%E -6.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-06 21:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-11-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-11-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-11-06 21:45
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-11-07 00:55
Novig◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-11-07 00:10
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-11-06 23:50
ProphetX◎3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%5.3%2026-11-07 00:45

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