La scuola delle quote

Alexander Blockx v Yannick Hanfmann

Inizio: 2026-04-13 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexander Blockx (Casa)

Previsione 50.38%1.98quota equa
EV +0.762%
Vantaggio +0.381%
Kelly +0.762%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%50.34%50.39%52.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.871.882.0057.14%53.41%53.33%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.62%2.02quota equa
EV -0.266%
Vantaggio -0.132%
Kelly -0.263%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.30%49.66%49.61%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.891.902.0156.50%53.03%52.63%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.762%E +0.381%K +0.762%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 15:16
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.762%E +0.381%K +0.762%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 15:16
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 15:10
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.76%E -1.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.75%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 15:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:10
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:09
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.25%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.01%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -4.28%E -2.25%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -12.17%E -6.88%K -15.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 14:59
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 15:09
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.24%E -2.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 15:10
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.73%E -2.46%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:59
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:10
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.57%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 15:09
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.79%E -3.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.24%E -1.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 15:20
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.79%E -3.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.72%E -3.57%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 15:10
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.79%E -3.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.72%E -3.57%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.79%E -3.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.72%E -3.57%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.29%E -3.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.72%E -3.57%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.24%E -1.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 15:19
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.24%E -2.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 15:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.72%E -3.01%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 15:20
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.72%E -3.01%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 15:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.72%E -3.57%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 15:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.20%E -4.44%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.20%E -4.44%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 15:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.20%E -4.44%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 15:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:10
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.21%E -3.86%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 15:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.20%E -4.44%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.20%E -4.44%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 15:18
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 15:20
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -8.31%E -4.56%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.266%E -0.132%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 15:10
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.82%E -5.48%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -10.19%E -5.63%K -12.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.83%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.24%E -1.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-13 15:10
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-04-13 15:20
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-04-13 15:20