赔率学院

Jan Choinski v Alexandre Muller

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Jan Choinski (主队)

预测 56.86%1.76公平赔率
EV +8.60%
优势 +4.50%
Kelly +9.45%
增长率 +0.813%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
48.52%56.50%57.59%63.55%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.521.721.701.9165.79%58.11%58.82%52.36%MIN均值中位数MAX

Alexandre Muller (客队)

预测 43.14%2.32公平赔率
EV +14.32%
优势 +5.40%
Kelly +8.68%
增长率 +1.24%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.45%43.50%42.41%51.48%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.802.102.152.6555.56%47.72%46.51%37.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -13.57%E -8.93%K -26.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV +14.32%E +5.40%K +8.68%G +1.24%3.5%2026-04-04 14:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.01%E -8.50%K -24.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +3.54%E +1.47%K +2.53%G +0.089%7.0%2026-04-04 14:53
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -8.50%K -24.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +2.67%E +1.12%K +1.94%G +0.052%7.4%2026-04-04 14:54
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.34%E -1.96%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 14:54
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:54
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.73%E -6.83%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:52
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.03%E -5.64%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 14:54
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +4.05%E +2.21%K +4.88%G +0.198%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -17.60%E -9.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +8.60%E +4.50%K +9.45%G +0.813%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -18.90%E -10.05%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 14:45
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +6.33%E +3.38%K +7.27%G +0.460%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -19.33%E -10.34%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +8.60%E +4.50%K +9.45%G +0.813%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -22.35%E -12.41%K -27.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:54
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +8.60%E +4.50%K +9.45%G +0.813%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -22.35%E -12.41%K -27.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:54
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV +6.33%E +3.38%K +7.27%G +0.460%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -22.35%E -12.41%K -27.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 14:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-04-04 14:55
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%3.0%2026-04-04 14:54