赔率学院

Jakub Mensik v Fabian Marozsan

开赛时间： 2026-04-07 10:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Jakub Mensik (主队)

预测 61.64%1.62公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -2.05%
Kelly -5.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.45%61.53%61.86%63.83%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.27%65.36%63.69%MIN均值中位数MAX

Fabian Marozsan (客队)

预测 38.36%2.61公平赔率
EV +0.885%
优势 +0.336%
Kelly +0.543%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
36.17%38.47%38.14%39.55%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.352.462.422.6342.55%40.72%41.24%38.02%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.16%E -5.47%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.885%E +0.336%K +0.543%G +0.005%5.1%2026-04-06 03:59
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.18%E -0.856%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 09:15
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.62%E -7.32%K -23.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.18%E -0.856%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 09:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.95%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 09:15
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.95%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 09:15
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 10:10
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 10:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 05:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 07:39
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 07:40
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 09:14
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 07:25
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 07:40
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 09:15
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 07:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 10:09
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 07:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-07 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-07 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-07 09:55
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-04-07 10:10