语言:简体中文
Jakub Mensik v Fabian Marozsan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jakub Mensik (主队)
预测 61.64%1.62公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -2.05%
Kelly -5.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
60.45%61.53%61.86%63.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.27%65.36%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fabian Marozsan (客队)
预测 38.36%2.61公平赔率
EV +0.885%
优势 +0.336%
Kelly +0.543%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 2.63
博彩公司预测分布
36.17%38.47%38.14%39.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.462.422.6342.55%40.72%41.24%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jakub Mensik (主队)：61.64%；Fabian Marozsan (客队)：38.36%。 对于“Fabian Marozsan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.61。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.63，对应+0.885%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.16%E -5.47%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.885%E +0.336%K +0.543%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 03:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.18%E -0.856%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 09:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.62%E -7.32%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.18%E -0.856%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.95%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 09:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.95%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 09:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 05:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 07:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 09:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 07:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 10:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 07:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 09:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 2.5% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |