La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cristian Garin v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cristian Garin (Local)
Predicción 13.78%7.26momio equitativo
EV +6.77%
Ventaja +0.874%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.38%14.03%13.58%17.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.506.407.7518.18%15.38%15.63%12.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 86.22%1.16momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -12.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.96%85.97%86.42%87.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1494.34%90.62%90.50%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +6.77%E +0.874%K +1.00%G +0.068% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.33%E +0.444%K +0.512%G +0.017% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.33%E +0.444%K +0.512%G +0.017% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +3.33%E +0.444%K +0.512%G +0.017% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.60%E -8.12%K -143.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV +0.571%E +0.078%K +0.091%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -0.117%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.68%EV -1.77%E -0.248%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.32%EV -2.57%E -2.27%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:10 |
| Betsson | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:10 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 10:23 |
| GTbets | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.61%EV -3.84%E -0.550%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.39%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 10:15 |
| ReBet | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -6.32%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.32%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 10:00 |
| Bet Right | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.01%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 03:35 |
| BetUS | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.01%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.01%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.01%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -7.69%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:19 |
| Fliff | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.04%EV -9.76%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.74%E -7.23%K -110.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 03:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 08:50 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Unibet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 10:15 |
| Neds | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.02%E -5.52%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -13.21%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| TABtouch | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Bally Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.43%E -3.06%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Caesars | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| Grosvenor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.29%E -3.87%K -39.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Bet Victor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -17.89%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.71%E -1.50%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -17.89%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -1.71%E -1.50%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 10:24 |
| LeoVegas | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -20.09%E -3.46%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -20.09%E -3.46%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.15%E -4.69%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -20.78%E -3.61%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.57%E -2.27%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -22.85%E -4.08%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -6.88%E -6.37%K -85.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -24.23%E -4.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.57%E -2.27%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39% | 0.1% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Matchbook | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |
| Novig | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.17% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 10:25 |