L’École des cotes

Arthur Rinderknech v Karen Khachanov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 09:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prévision 36.63%2.73cote équitable
EV +19.04%
Avantage +5.86%
Kelly +8.46%
Croissance +1.61%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%36.46%36.89%41.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.642.603.2544.44%37.92%38.46%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.37%1.58cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.872%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%63.54%63.11%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.471.481.6076.34%68.19%67.57%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +19.04%E +5.86%K +8.46%G +1.61%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -16.98%E -12.96%K -54.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:10
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +8.05%E +2.73%K +4.13%G +0.333%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -10.65%E -7.55%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 08:05
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +6.22%E +2.15%K +3.27%G +0.204%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.28%E -8.06%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 09:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +6.22%E +2.15%K +3.27%G +0.204%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.28%E -8.06%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 14:54
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +6.22%E +2.15%K +3.27%G +0.204%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -13.81%E -10.16%K -38.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 08:50
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +5.86%E +2.03%K +3.10%G +0.181%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 07:19
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +5.86%E +2.03%K +3.10%G +0.181%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 07:19
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.49%E +1.91%K +2.92%G +0.160%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.01%E -7.05%K -23.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:08
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV +5.12%E +1.78%K +2.74%G +0.140%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -13.18%E -9.62%K -35.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 08:55
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +4.39%E +1.54%K +2.37%G +0.104%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -6.84%E -4.66%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +4.39%E +1.54%K +2.37%G +0.104%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -9.38%E -6.56%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:12
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +4.39%E +1.54%K +2.37%G +0.104%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -10.65%E -7.55%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 08:50
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +4.39%E +1.54%K +2.37%G +0.104%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -10.65%E -7.55%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 08:50
GTbets2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV +2.92%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -11.28%E -8.06%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:01
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.56%E +0.914%K +1.42%G +0.036%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.56%E +0.914%K +1.42%G +0.036%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.28%E -8.06%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:13
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.69%EV +1.83%E +0.657%K +1.03%G +0.019%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -14.45%E -10.70%K -41.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 09:13
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +1.46%E +0.527%K +0.825%G +0.012%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.48%E -5.12%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 08:50
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.10%E -0.409%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 09:15
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.10%E -0.409%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.84%E -4.66%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.10%E -0.409%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.48%E -5.12%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 09:15
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.10%E -0.409%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.10%E -0.409%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.01%E -7.05%K -23.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 05:19
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.10%E -0.409%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.01%E -7.05%K -23.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 09:13
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.10%E -0.409%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.01%E -7.05%K -23.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 05:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 09:15
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 09:14
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:15
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -11.28%E -8.06%K -28.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 09:15
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 09:15
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.67%E -2.42%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:15
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.67%E -2.42%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:15
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:15
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.84%E -4.66%K -14.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 09:15
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.84%E -4.66%K -14.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.09%E -5.04%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 09:15
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -13.92%E -5.93%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -2.41%E -1.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 09:15
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -13.92%E -5.93%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 09:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -15.76%E -6.85%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -0.506%E -0.322%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.76%E -6.85%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.76%E -6.85%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 09:15
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -17.59%E -7.82%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +1.40%E +0.872%K +2.33%G +0.032%6.9%2026-04-06 09:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-04-06 09:15
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-04-06 09:15
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.2%2026-04-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.7%2026-04-06 09:15
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%3.9%2026-04-06 09:15