La scuola delle quote

Rafael Jodar v Benjamin Bonzi

Inizio: 2026-03-17 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Casa)

Previsione 56.08%1.78quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -3.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.81%56.09%55.99%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.671.671.7461.73%59.74%59.88%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Benjamin Bonzi (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.92%2.28quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%43.91%44.01%45.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.132.112.2248.78%46.89%47.39%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -7.33%E -3.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 20:00
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 20:10
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 20:00
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 20:00
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 20:09
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 20:09
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 20:00
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -7.33%E -3.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 20:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 20:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 20:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 20:00
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 20:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 20:01
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 20:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 20:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 20:10
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 20:10
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 20:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 20:10
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.59%E -5.27%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.58%EV -7.33%E -3.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 20:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 20:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:57
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-17 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-17 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-17 20:05
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%3.2%2026-03-17 20:10
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-03-17 20:10