L’École des cotes

Quentin Halys v Liam Draxl

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 65.56%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.42%65.69%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.93%68.97%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liam Draxl (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.44%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.810%
Avantage -0.281%
Kelly -0.431%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.58%34.31%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.732.702.8838.46%36.62%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.01%E -0.666%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.01%E -0.666%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 22:14
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.66%E -1.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 21:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.97%E -2.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.19%E -0.770%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 21:54
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.97%E -2.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.97%E -2.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 11:44
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.63%E -2.47%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 21:55
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.63%E -2.47%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -0.810%E -0.281%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 22:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:25
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.63%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 00:35
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 00:35
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 11:44
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:00
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:00
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:00
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.25%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 21:10
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:19
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:50
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:35
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.73%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:35
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.73%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 13:08
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.19%E -0.770%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 21:49
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.88%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:05
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:00
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:19
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 11:44
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 11:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 11:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 00:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.73%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 21:50
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.59%E -3.89%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.76%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 22:09
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:00
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.73%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.56%E -5.36%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 22:20
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:49
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 21:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 21:50
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 21:55
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-03-19 22:00
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.6%2026-03-19 22:14
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-03-19 22:25