La scuola delle quote

Damir Dzumhur v Jannik Sinner

Inizio: 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Damir Dzumhur (Casa)

Previsione 3.48%28.74quota equa
EV +178.31%
Vantaggio +2.23%
Kelly +2.26%
Crescita +4.02%

ipotizzando la quota massima 80.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
1.23%3.65%3.52%7.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
13.0033.2129.0080.007.69%3.01%3.45%1.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)

Previsione 96.52%1.04quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -2.49%
Kelly -251.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
92.79%96.35%96.48%98.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.65%100.00%99.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings80.00I 1.25%NM 1.23%EV +178.31%E +2.23%K +2.26%G +4.02%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.77%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.2%2026-03-21 17:25
FanDuel76.00I 1.32%NM 1.30%EV +164.40%E +2.16%K +2.19%G +3.60%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.70%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.3%2026-03-21 17:25
Paddy Power67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +133.09%E +1.99%K +2.02%G +2.68%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Coral61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +112.21%E +1.84%K +1.87%G +2.10%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +77.42%E +1.52%K +1.55%G +1.20%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 17:24
Unibet (UK)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +60.03%E +1.31%K +1.33%G +0.801%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-20 05:25
PointsBet (AU)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +60.03%E +1.31%K +1.33%G +0.801%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-20 05:25
1xBet46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +60.03%E +1.31%K +1.33%G +0.801%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-21 17:05
PMU (FR)41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +42.64%E +1.04%K +1.07%G +0.454%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 15:29
theScore Bet41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +42.64%E +1.04%K +1.07%G +0.454%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 17:23
BoyleSports34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +18.28%E +0.538%K +0.554%G +0.101%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 07:23
William Hill34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +18.28%E +0.538%K +0.554%G +0.101%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 23:54
888sport29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +0.889%E +0.031%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:15
Mr Green (SE)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +0.889%E +0.031%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:14
888sport (SE)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +0.889%E +0.031%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:14
Bovada29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +0.889%E +0.031%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:07
Betway26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV -9.55%E -0.367%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 17:14
Winamax (DE)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -13.03%E -0.521%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 16:09
Winamax (FR)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -13.03%E -0.521%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet (FR)23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV -18.25%E -0.776%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 22:50
PlayUp21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -26.94%E -1.28%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 17:18
Fanatics21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -26.94%E -1.28%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:24
NordicBet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -33.90%E -1.78%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 05:25
Betsson19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -33.90%E -1.78%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -3.48%E -3.48%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 05:25
LowVig.ag18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV -34.35%E -1.82%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 09:50
BetOnline.ag18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV -34.35%E -1.82%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 09:50
Bet Right16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -44.34%E -2.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 05:18
Caesars15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -47.82%E -3.19%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:20
TAB15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -47.82%E -3.19%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Betr (AU)14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -50.43%E -3.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 04:10
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -54.77%E -4.21%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -2.51%E -2.49%K -251.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets54.95I 1.82%NM 1.80%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%0.8%2026-03-21 17:10
ProphetX98.50I 1.02%NM 1.01%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.99%1.0%2026-03-21 17:24
Novig35.71I 2.80%NM 2.72%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.28%2.8%2026-03-21 17:24