La escuela de los momios

Zhizhen Zhang v Vit Kopriva

Inicio: 2026-04-22 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (Local)

Predicción 52.59%1.90momio equitativo
EV +5.17%
Ventaja +2.59%
Kelly +5.17%
Crecimiento +0.267%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%52.32%52.63%53.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.811.802.0057.80%55.23%55.56%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vit Kopriva (Visitante)

Predicción 47.41%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.895%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.32%47.68%47.37%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.981.982.0754.64%50.52%50.51%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.17%E +2.59%K +5.17%G +0.267%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.23%E -7.23%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 06:44
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.439%E +0.230%K +0.483%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.44%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 08:50
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.14%E -0.606%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 08:54
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.66%E -0.890%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 08:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.24%E -1.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 07:35
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.24%E -1.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:54
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 02:00
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 08:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.12%E -3.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.29%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 08:40
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.82%E -2.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 02:14
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.82%E -2.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.49%E -4.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 05:55
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 05:55
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 05:54
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 07:19
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 00:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 05:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 03:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 08:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 03:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 04:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 03:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 07:09
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 07:35
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.12%E -3.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 08:49
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.12%E -3.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 07:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 08:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.91%E -5.22%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 08:29
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.91%E -5.22%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 07:20
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.85%E -0.895%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 08:39
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.80%E -1.37%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 08:39
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 02:00
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 02:00
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.40%E -3.59%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.49%E -4.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 02:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.92%E -3.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 05:54
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.45%E -4.23%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.28%E -1.61%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 08:48
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.97%E -4.56%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.97%E -4.56%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 05:24
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.97%E -4.56%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 06:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.03%E -5.22%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.17%E -2.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-22 08:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-04-22 08:55
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-04-22 08:45
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-04-22 08:55