La escuela de los momios

Terence Atmane v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inicio: 2026-04-23 09:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Predicción 49.56%2.02momio equitativo
EV +4.07%
Ventaja +1.94%
Kelly +3.70%
Crecimiento +0.151%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%49.81%49.33%52.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.901.912.1057.14%52.55%52.36%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)

Predicción 50.44%1.98momio equitativo
EV +0.886%
Ventaja +0.443%
Kelly +0.886%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%50.19%50.67%54.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.851.852.0057.47%53.97%54.05%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +4.07%E +1.94%K +3.70%G +0.151%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -12.23%E -7.03%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:00
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +1.10%E +0.537%K +1.05%G +0.012%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 08:55
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.105%E +0.052%K +0.103%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.19%E -4.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 08:50
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +0.105%E +0.052%K +0.103%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 08:49
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.886%E -0.443%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 05:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.886%E -0.443%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.72%E -6.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -0.886%E -0.443%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -12.23%E -7.03%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 06:04
Bet Right1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -1.38%E -0.694%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.18%E -3.90%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.88%E -0.948%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 08:39
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.88%E -0.948%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 08:38
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.88%E -0.948%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:04
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.88%E -0.948%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:54
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:08
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.18%E -3.32%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:09
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.72%E -6.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 07:59
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 07:49
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:10
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -6.34%E -3.35%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.32%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:15
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.35%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 07:45
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 07:49
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.64%E -0.839%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:14
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.64%E -0.839%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.64%E -1.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:14
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.32%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.19%E -4.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -8.82%E -4.79%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -11.22%E -6.38%K -14.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 09:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.886%E +0.443%K +0.886%G +0.008%4.6%2026-04-23 09:14
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -3.15%E -1.64%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:14
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 09:12
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -9.81%E -5.39%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -6.18%E -3.32%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -9.81%E -5.39%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -10.30%E -5.69%K -12.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.886%E +0.443%K +0.886%G +0.008%5.6%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:14
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -13.28%E -7.59%K -17.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -1.64%E -0.839%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 09:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%6.4%2026-04-23 09:10