A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Benjamin Bonzi

Início: 2026-04-24 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 95.22%1.05odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -143.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.74%94.86%95.19%96.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.011.011.0299.01%98.97%99.01%98.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante)

Previsão 4.78%20.90odd justa
EV +48.31%
Vantagem +1.56%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescimento +0.778%

pressupondo odds máximas de 31.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.16%5.14%4.81%9.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0018.5017.0031.0010.00%5.41%5.88%3.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +48.31%E +1.56%K +1.61%G +0.778%2.2%2026-04-24 02:15
Pinnacle1.01I 99.01%NM 96.55%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%28.23I 3.54%NM 3.45%EV +35.05%E +1.24%K +1.29%G +0.451%2.6%2026-04-23 19:50
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.39%E +0.938%K +0.975%G +0.238%2.9%2026-04-24 02:10
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.39%E +0.938%K +0.975%G +0.238%2.9%2026-04-23 06:00
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.39%E +0.938%K +0.975%G +0.238%2.9%2026-04-23 06:54
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.60%E +0.784%K +0.817%G +0.160%3.0%2026-04-23 06:30
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.60%E +0.784%K +0.817%G +0.160%3.0%2026-04-23 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +10.03%E +0.436%K +0.456%G +0.046%3.4%2026-04-24 02:40
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +10.03%E +0.436%K +0.456%G +0.046%3.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +10.03%E +0.436%K +0.456%G +0.046%3.4%2026-04-23 15:55
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +10.03%E +0.436%K +0.456%G +0.046%3.4%2026-04-23 06:54
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.465%E +0.022%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 08:04
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.465%E +0.022%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 07:40
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.465%E +0.022%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.465%E +0.022%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 09:10
William Hill1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.465%E +0.022%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.32%E -0.216%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 12:10
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.32%E -0.216%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 09:55
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 95.17%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%19.92I 5.02%NM 4.83%EV -4.70%E -0.236%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 20:14
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 95.17%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%19.92I 5.02%NM 4.83%EV -4.70%E -0.236%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -2.88%E -2.82%K -143.99%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -9.10%E -0.479%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.10%E -0.479%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 22:35
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.10%E -0.479%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 22:35
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.10%E -0.479%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 11:34
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -13.89%E -0.772%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 13:50
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -18.67%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 22:34
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -18.67%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 10:34
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -18.67%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 02:40
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -18.67%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 02:39
Bet Right1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -23.46%E -1.47%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 20:35
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:35
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:35
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:35
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:40
BetRivers1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:40
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:40
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:40
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:40
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 22:05
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 22:27
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.24%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:40
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -31.83%E -2.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:35
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -47.38%E -4.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 20:05
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.83%E -3.79%K -383.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -47.38%E -4.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:40
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -2.88%E -2.82%K -143.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -52.16%E -5.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.34%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%0.7%2026-04-23 20:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.34%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.66%0.7%2026-04-23 20:49
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-24 01:50
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-04-24 01:50
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 97.63%41.67I 2.40%NM 2.37%1.4%2026-04-24 02:10