La escuela de los momios

Andrey Rublev v Vit Kopriva

Inicio: 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Predicción 73.48%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -9.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.36%73.47%74.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.50%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vit Kopriva (Visitante)

Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.547%
Ventaja -0.146%
Kelly -0.199%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%26.64%26.53%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.573.603.7530.77%28.02%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.55%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV -2.67%E -0.727%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:45
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:44
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.547%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:04
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -1.34%E -0.361%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.87%E -0.506%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 02:40
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -2.40%E -0.653%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -2.40%E -0.653%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:10
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.20%E -0.876%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 02:40
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.42%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:24
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:39
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:40
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:40
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:10
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.547%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 19:19
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:40
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:59
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:59
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:59
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:59
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:40
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:39
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:24
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:40
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:04
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:19
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 21:24
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.87%E -0.506%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:40
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:50
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:45
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 19:09
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:44
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:40
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03%EV -6.68%E -5.26%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.68%E -5.26%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:40
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.68%E -5.26%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.68%E -5.26%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.15%E -6.52%K -32.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-04-24 02:45
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-04-24 02:45