A Escola das Odds

Marin Cilic v Martin Landaluce

Início: 2026-05-09 10:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marin Cilic (Local)

Previsão 60.71%1.65odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.43%60.74%60.75%61.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.561.561.6265.79%64.01%64.10%61.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Martin Landaluce (Visitante)

Previsão 39.29%2.55odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.556%
Kelly -0.924%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.02%39.26%39.25%40.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.402.402.5143.48%41.68%41.67%39.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.14%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 10:29
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.86%E -1.79%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.18%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 10:34
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.86%E -1.79%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 10:29
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 10:29
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 10:30
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 10:29
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:30
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 10:29
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 10:29
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 10:29
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 10:29
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 10:34
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 10:29
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 10:29
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 10:34
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 10:34
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.11%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 10:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:34
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 10:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.79%E -0.715%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 10:29
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.14%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:29
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 10:29
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:30
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:34
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:34
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:34
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:29
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:26
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 10:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 10:28
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 10:29
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.89%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:34
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:30
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 10:30
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.39%E -0.556%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 10:29
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 10:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.11%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:29
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.11%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.11%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 10:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.11%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 10:29
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 10:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-09 10:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-09 10:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-09 10:34
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-09 10:34
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-05-09 10:34
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%3.3%2026-05-09 10:35