语言:简体中文
Francisco Comesana v Leandro Riedi
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Francisco Comesana (主队)
预测 55.74%1.79公平赔率
EV +4.23%
优势 +2.26%
Kelly +4.86%
增长率 +0.205%
假设最高赔率为 1.87
博彩公司预测分布
49.05%56.67%54.53%65.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.671.671.8768.97%59.98%59.88%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Leandro Riedi (客队)
预测 44.26%2.26公平赔率
EV +22.61%
优势 +8.16%
Kelly +12.77%
增长率 +2.89%
假设最高赔率为 2.77
博彩公司预测分布
34.98%43.33%45.47%50.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.802.202.132.7755.56%45.43%47.06%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Francisco Comesana (主队)：55.74%；Leandro Riedi (客队)：44.26%。 对于“Leandro Riedi (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.26。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.77，对应+22.61%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -16.95%E -11.38%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +22.61%E +8.16%K +12.77%G +2.89% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -19.18%E -13.23%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +15.08%E +5.80%K +9.43%G +1.42% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -13.61%E -8.78%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +13.76%E +5.35%K +8.76%G +1.21% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -13.61%E -8.78%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +13.76%E +5.35%K +8.76%G +1.21% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -15.28%E -10.05%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +10.66%E +4.26%K +7.11%G +0.757% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.49%E -7.96%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.408%E -0.181%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.49%E -7.96%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.408%E -0.181%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.71%E -5.99%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 08:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -0.789%E -0.443%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.35%E -0.760%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.47%E -5.74%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.35%E -0.760%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.47%E -5.74%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +3.11%E +1.68%K +3.66%G +0.114% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -18.11%E -9.79%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +3.11%E +1.68%K +3.66%G +0.114% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -18.11%E -9.79%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV +4.23%E +2.26%K +4.86%G +0.205% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -20.33%E -11.29%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92% | 11.0% | 2026-05-05 08:55 |