StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fabian Marozsan v Vit Kopriva

Matchstart: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fabian Marozsan (Hemma)

Prognos 59.07%1.69rättvist odds
EV -1.35%
Fördel -0.806%
Kelly -2.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.85%58.99%58.94%59.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.611.621.6763.69%61.99%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vit Kopriva (Borta)

Prognos 40.93%2.44rättvist odds
EV -2.60%
Fördel -1.09%
Kelly -1.88%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.05%41.01%41.06%43.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.302.302.3845.45%43.55%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fabian Marozsan (Hemma): 59.07%; Vit Kopriva (Borta): 40.93%. För Fabian Marozsan (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.69. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.67, med väntevärdet -1.35%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.35%E -0.806%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 08:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.35%E -0.806%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.35%E -0.806%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.35%E -0.806%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.35%E -0.806%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 08:30
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.51%E -3.32%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 13:50
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.71%E -2.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.71%E -2.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.71%E -2.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.71%E -2.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 08:28
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 08:53
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.46%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 08:19
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 13:49
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 06:44
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 02:04
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 07:19
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 20:00
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 08:30
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 08:05
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 21:20
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 22:34
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 08:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 01:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-06 08:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%2.8%2026-05-06 08:35