A Escola das Odds

Michael Zheng v Vit Kopriva

Início: 2026-03-06 04:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Michael Zheng (Local)

Previsão 43.41%2.30odd justa
EV +4.19%
Vantagem +1.75%
Kelly +2.99%
Crescimento +0.126%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.13%44.98%43.30%55.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.712.052.122.4058.48%48.75%47.17%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vit Kopriva (Visitante)

Previsão 56.59%1.77odd justa
EV +22.79%
Vantagem +10.50%
Kelly +19.48%
Crescimento +4.44%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.36%55.02%56.70%60.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.781.672.1765.36%56.26%59.88%46.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -24.90%E -14.39%K -34.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV +22.79%E +10.50%K +19.48%G +4.44%3.9%2026-03-06 04:26
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -24.90%E -14.39%K -34.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV +22.79%E +10.50%K +19.48%G +4.44%3.9%2026-03-06 04:26
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -25.33%E -14.73%K -35.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV +20.53%E +9.64%K +18.17%G +3.73%5.1%2026-03-06 04:25
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -22.29%E -12.45%K -28.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV +19.96%E +9.42%K +17.83%G +3.56%3.0%2026-03-06 04:35
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -24.46%E -14.06%K -33.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +19.96%E +9.42%K +17.83%G +3.56%4.6%2026-03-06 04:25
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -24.90%E -14.39%K -34.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV +19.40%E +9.19%K +17.48%G +3.39%5.2%2026-03-06 04:25
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -24.03%E -13.73%K -32.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +18.83%E +8.97%K +17.12%G +3.22%4.8%2026-03-06 04:23
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -24.90%E -14.39%K -34.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +18.83%E +8.97%K +17.12%G +3.22%5.4%2026-03-06 04:25
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -25.33%E -14.73%K -35.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +18.83%E +8.97%K +17.12%G +3.22%5.8%2026-03-06 04:26
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -25.76%E -15.07%K -36.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +18.83%E +8.97%K +17.12%G +3.22%6.1%2026-03-06 04:34
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -24.90%E -14.39%K -34.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV +17.13%E +8.28%K +16.01%G +2.74%6.1%2026-03-06 04:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -25.76%E -15.07%K -36.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +13.17%E +6.59%K +13.17%G +1.74%8.5%2026-03-06 04:30
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -22.72%E -12.77%K -29.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +10.34%E +5.30%K +10.89%G +1.13%7.5%2026-03-06 04:26
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -22.72%E -12.77%K -29.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +10.34%E +5.30%K +10.89%G +1.13%7.5%2026-03-06 04:26
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -17.51%E -9.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +7.51%E +3.96%K +8.35%G +0.627%5.3%2026-03-06 04:34
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -11.00%E -5.37%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +1.86%E +1.03%K +2.32%G +0.043%4.3%2026-03-06 04:34
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.49%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.80%E -2.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 04:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.49%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 04:35
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.79%E -2.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:35
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.79%E -2.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:35
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.79%E -2.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:35
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.79%E -2.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:35
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.10%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 04:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.83%E -4.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 04:35
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.96%E -3.76%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 04:35
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.96%E -3.76%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 04:35
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.96%E -3.76%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 04:35
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.49%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 04:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 04:35
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.83%E -4.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 04:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -9.70%E -4.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 04:35
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.150%E -0.065%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:35
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.78%EV -9.70%E -4.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.22%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 04:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.00%E -5.37%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 04:35
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -0.584%E -0.255%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 04:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 04:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 04:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 04:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.49%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 04:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.150%E -0.065%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 04:35
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 04:35
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.02%E +0.860%K +1.50%G +0.030%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.72%E -7.52%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 04:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +4.19%E +1.75%K +2.99%G +0.126%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -12.29%E -7.93%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 04:35
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.32%E +1.40%K +2.41%G +0.080%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.42%E -8.77%K -25.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 04:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-06 04:35
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-03-06 04:35
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-03-06 04:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%5.0%2026-03-06 04:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%6.7%2026-03-06 04:35