La scuola delle quote

Hubert Hurkacz v Aleksandar Kovacevic

Inizio: 2026-03-05 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Casa)

Previsione 67.41%1.48quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -5.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.53%67.34%67.44%68.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.411.411.4574.07%70.91%70.92%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.59%3.07quota equa
EV -0.608%
Vantaggio -0.199%
Kelly -0.296%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.19%32.66%32.56%34.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.892.903.0537.04%34.60%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.25%E -1.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 18:10
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -2.25%E -1.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -8.43%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 15:45
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.93%E -2.03%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 18:10
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 20:15
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 15:00
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 19:45
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 17:35
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 12:29
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 12:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.60%E -2.52%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 12:25
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.608%E -0.199%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:50
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 20:50
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 12:15
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 12:25
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 12:25
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.19%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 20:54
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:49
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:50
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.95%E -3.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 15:00
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.24%E -0.746%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:54
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.24%E -0.746%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 05:44
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:55
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 11:04
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.19%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 14:45
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 06:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 06:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 07:15
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 06:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 06:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.47%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:25
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 20:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 12:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 12:25
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 12:20
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.30%E -4.53%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 20:45
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.30%E -4.53%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 09:10
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.30%E -4.53%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 16:55
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.32%E -6.12%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.24%E -0.746%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.99%E -6.66%K -25.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-05 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-05 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-05 20:55
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-05 19:25
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.56%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.44%1.4%2026-03-05 20:55
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-03-05 20:55