La scuola delle quote

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Zachary Svajda

Inizio: 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Casa)

Previsione 59.67%1.68quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -3.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.99%59.68%59.52%62.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.591.581.6465.36%62.91%63.29%60.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zachary Svajda (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.33%2.48quota equa
EV +0.826%
Vantaggio +0.330%
Kelly +0.551%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.97%40.32%40.48%42.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.342.352.5044.44%42.69%42.55%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.826%E +0.330%K +0.551%G +0.005%5.4%2026-03-07 01:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.19%E -0.486%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 01:54
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.40%E -0.992%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 01:54
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.40%E -0.992%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:03
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.40%E -0.992%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.34%E -2.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.34%E -2.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 01:56
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:00
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:05
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:54
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.14%E -1.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 02:04
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.14%E -1.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 02:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.13%E -3.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.42%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 02:00
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.93%E -2.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:46
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 02:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 02:00
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.03%E -2.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:00
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 02:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.34%E -2.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 01:59
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.34%E -2.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 01:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.93%E -2.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:00
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.13%E -3.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 01:57
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.74%E -1.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 02:00
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.34%E -2.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 02:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.13%E -3.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 02:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 02:00
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.32%E -4.02%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 02:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-07 02:00
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-07 02:00
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%1.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-07 02:00