L’École des cotes

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Vit Kopriva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 11:55 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prévision 66.56%1.50cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -4.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.79%66.60%66.67%68.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.411.401.4774.07%71.08%71.43%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vit Kopriva (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.44%2.99cote équitable
EV +3.66%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.11%33.40%33.33%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.883.1037.74%34.85%34.78%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +3.66%E +1.18%K +1.74%G +0.064%3.7%2026-05-19 11:49
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:49
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.81%E -6.43%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.81%E -6.43%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +0.314%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -7.48%E -5.38%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -1.36%E -0.460%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.14%E -7.51%K -28.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -1.36%E -0.460%K -0.697%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.48%E -2.40%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -1.69%E -0.576%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.82%E -3.37%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.03%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 11:49
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.03%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 11:50
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.03%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 11:49
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -6.15%E -4.36%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 11:49
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.48%E -3.86%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 11:50
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.48%E -6.97%K -26.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.03%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.82%E -3.37%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:50
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.82%E -3.37%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:49
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.15%E -4.36%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:49
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.48%E -5.38%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.14%E -5.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.81%E -6.43%K -23.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.15%E -1.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 11:50
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.48%E -3.86%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:50
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.48%E -3.86%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:50
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.82%E -1.93%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.38%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.48%E -2.40%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:48
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:50
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.48%E -2.40%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.48%E -2.40%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:50
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.48%E -2.40%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.81%E -4.87%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.15%E -2.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.39%E -4.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-05-19 11:50
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-05-19 11:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-05-19 11:50