La escuela de los momios

Terence Atmane v Martin Landaluce

Inicio: 2026-06-15 11:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Predicción 36.91%2.71momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.636%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.73%37.11%36.92%39.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.532.552.6842.02%39.49%39.22%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Martin Landaluce (Visitante)

Predicción 63.09%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.87%62.89%63.08%64.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.5670.42%66.84%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.07%E -0.399%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.00%E -4.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.18%E -0.821%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-15 11:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 11:30
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 11:20
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 10:50
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 10:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 10:50
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.00%E -4.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:30
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 11:31
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 10:50
DraftKings2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -4.39%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.00%E -4.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 11:30
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -5.13%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.59%E -1.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 10:50
FanDuel2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.50%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 11:30
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.85%E -1.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 10:50
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 11:30
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 11:30
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 10:50
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 10:50
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:30
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 11:30
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 11:20
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 11:30
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 11:30
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -6.61%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:30
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -7.34%E -2.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.85%E -1.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 11:29
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 11:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.74%E -3.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 11:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 11:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 10:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 10:50
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 10:50
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.00%E -4.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 11:30
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.00%E -4.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 10:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 10:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:21
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 10:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.45%E -3.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.45%E -3.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:30
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 11:00
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 11:28
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.53%E -5.88%K -18.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 11:30
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:31
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -10.42%E -7.34%K -24.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-15 11:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.14%E -5.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-06-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-06-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-15 11:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-06-15 11:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-06-15 11:30
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-06-15 11:30