L’École des cotes

Ben Shelton v Taylor Fritz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 09:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ben Shelton (Local)

Prévision 45.65%2.19cote équitable
EV +2.72%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%45.76%45.74%48.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.082.102.2552.63%48.06%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.35%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.547%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.659%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.35%54.24%54.26%57.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.721.8359.88%57.53%58.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.72%E +1.21%K +2.18%G +0.059%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 09:30
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.72%E +1.21%K +2.18%G +0.059%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 09:30
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.72%E +1.21%K +2.18%G +0.059%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 08:51
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.84%E -0.858%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 06:40
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.30%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 09:10
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -2.76%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -8.70%E -5.18%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 09:19
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.63%E -0.903%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 09:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:41
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:50
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:41
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.67%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 09:30
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 05:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 09:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 09:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 09:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 09:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 09:29
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 09:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 09:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 09:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 09:20
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 06:06
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 08:41
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 09:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 09:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.24%E -5.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 09:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.24%E -5.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 09:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 09:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 09:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:10
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 09:08
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 09:00
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 09:30
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.09%E -0.599%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 09:30
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.63%E -0.903%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 09:30
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 04:40
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.63%E -0.903%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 21:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 16:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 16:40
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 20:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 19:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 05:19
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 09:30
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -9.15%E -4.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -0.547%E -0.299%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 08:41
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.97%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 09:28
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -13.26%E -6.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 05:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-19 09:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-06-19 09:30
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%3.3%2026-06-19 09:30