L’École des cotes

Alexander Zverev v Vit Kopriva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 13:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 90.91%1.10cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -38.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.40%90.78%91.03%92.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.65%95.24%93.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vit Kopriva (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.09%11.00cote équitable
EV +25.45%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.506%

avec la cote maximale 13.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.07%9.22%8.97%11.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.5310.5013.8012.50%9.50%9.52%7.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 92.93%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 7.07%EV +25.45%E +1.84%K +1.99%G +0.506%2.5%2026-06-16 13:00
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.18%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.275%2.9%2026-06-16 13:00
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.18%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.275%3.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 91.89%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%11.89I 8.41%NM 8.11%EV +8.09%E +0.680%K +0.743%G +0.060%3.6%2026-06-16 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +4.54%E +0.395%K +0.432%G +0.020%4.8%2026-06-16 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV +3.72%E +0.326%K +0.358%G +0.013%4.0%2026-06-16 13:00
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV +3.72%E +0.326%K +0.358%G +0.013%4.0%2026-06-16 13:00
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV +2.72%E +0.241%K +0.264%G +0.007%5.0%2026-06-16 13:00
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +1.81%E +0.162%K +0.178%G +0.003%3.3%2026-06-16 13:00
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV +1.81%E +0.162%K +0.178%G +0.003%5.1%2026-06-16 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 13:00
Hard Rock Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 12:59
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 12:59
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:00
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 12:59
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 12:59
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 12:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.27%E -7.13%K -363.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.27%E -7.13%K -363.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -8.18%E -8.10%K -818.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -0.004%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 13:00
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -2.28%E -0.212%K -0.234%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 13:00
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Bally Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 13:00
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.27%E -7.13%K -363.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -4.55%E -0.433%K -0.479%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 13:00
Fliff1.03I 97.09%NM 90.91%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.11%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.09%EV -6.37%E -0.618%K -0.685%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 12:59
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.82%E -0.666%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 13:00
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:00
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:00
betfred_uk1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.09%E -0.909%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:00
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -9.55%E -0.960%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 12:59
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.73%E -2.55%K -38.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -13.64%E -1.44%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 13:01
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.64%E -1.44%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.43%K -60.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.64%E -1.44%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:00
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.19%E -2.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 13:00
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.73%E -2.67%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:00
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.73%E -2.67%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:00
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -2.73%E -2.55%K -38.96%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -25.00%E -3.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 13:00
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.55%E -4.33%K -90.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -27.28%E -3.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-06-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-06-16 13:00
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%1.5%2026-06-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.5%2026-06-16 13:00
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.5%2026-06-16 13:00
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-06-16 13:00