Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Landaluce v Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Prévision 71.13%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -9.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%71.19%70.97%73.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.43%75.19%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.87%3.46cote équitable
EV +3.95%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%28.81%29.03%30.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.253.6032.26%30.29%30.72%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Landaluce (Local) : 71.13% ; Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (Visiteur) : 28.87%. Pour Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.46. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +3.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.83%E -5.21%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +3.95%E +1.10%K +1.52%G +0.060%4.1%2026-05-26 11:27
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.50%E +0.705%K +0.982%G +0.025%5.1%2026-05-26 11:30
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.50%E +0.705%K +0.982%G +0.025%5.1%2026-05-26 11:30
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.83%E -5.21%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +1.93%E +0.546%K +0.761%G +0.015%4.7%2026-05-26 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.69%E -3.50%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.06%E +0.303%K +0.424%G +0.004%3.2%2026-05-26 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.384%E -0.111%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.384%E -0.111%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -0.962%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.83%E -0.538%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 11:39
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.83%E -0.538%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.83%E -0.538%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.83%E -0.538%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.27%E -2.40%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -2.12%E -0.624%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 11:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -2.41%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.27%E -2.40%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 11:28
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:40
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.83%E -5.21%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.27%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.69%E -3.50%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.69%E -3.50%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:40
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.11%E -4.63%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:38
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.96%E -7.00%K -32.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:19
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:19
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.69%E -3.50%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:10
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:10
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 11:18
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.98%E -2.95%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:30
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:09
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -9.67%E -7.61%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-05-26 11:39
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-05-26 11:40