A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Início: 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 95.39%1.05odd justa
EV -3.65%
Vantagem -3.62%
Kelly -365.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.59%95.29%95.41%98.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.16%99.01%99.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 4.61%21.70odd justa
EV +135.02%
Vantagem +2.65%
Kelly +2.70%
Crescimento +3.65%

pressupondo odds máximas de 51.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
1.94%4.71%4.59%8.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0022.2219.0051.009.09%4.50%5.26%1.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +135.02%E +2.65%K +2.70%G +3.65%1.0%2026-05-28 01:48
SportsBet1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +88.93%E +2.17%K +2.22%G +1.98%2.4%2026-05-28 02:08
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +56.68%E +1.67%K +1.72%G +0.973%2.9%2026-05-28 05:30
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +56.68%E +1.67%K +1.72%G +0.973%2.9%2026-05-27 17:00
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +56.68%E +1.67%K +1.72%G +0.973%2.9%2026-05-28 05:29
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +56.68%E +1.67%K +1.72%G +0.973%2.9%2026-05-28 05:30
Pinnacle1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%31.96I 3.13%NM 3.06%EV +47.28%E +1.48%K +1.53%G +0.722%2.1%2026-05-28 09:40
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +42.85%E +1.38%K +1.43%G +0.612%2.2%2026-05-28 01:50
BetAnything1.01I 99.01%NM 96.79%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%30.45I 3.28%NM 3.21%EV +40.32%E +1.32%K +1.37%G +0.552%2.3%2026-05-27 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +38.24%E +1.27%K +1.32%G +0.504%2.3%2026-05-27 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +19.81%E +0.762%K +0.792%G +0.157%2.9%2026-05-27 11:40
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +19.81%E +0.762%K +0.792%G +0.157%2.9%2026-05-27 11:40
1xBet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +19.81%E +0.762%K +0.792%G +0.157%2.9%2026-05-28 09:49
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +19.81%E +0.762%K +0.792%G +0.157%2.9%2026-05-27 22:09
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +19.81%E +0.762%K +0.792%G +0.157%3.8%2026-05-28 05:40
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +15.20%E +0.608%K +0.634%G +0.096%3.0%2026-05-27 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +15.20%E +0.608%K +0.634%G +0.096%3.0%2026-05-28 08:50
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +5.99%E +0.260%K +0.272%G +0.016%3.4%2026-05-28 00:59
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +5.99%E +0.260%K +0.272%G +0.016%3.4%2026-05-27 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +5.99%E +0.260%K +0.272%G +0.016%3.4%2026-05-27 11:39
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -3.23%E -0.154%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 22:29
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -3.23%E -0.154%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 11:39
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -7.84%E -0.392%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 03:40
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 95.12%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%19.67I 5.08%NM 4.88%EV -9.36%E -0.476%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 11:40
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 95.12%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%19.67I 5.08%NM 4.88%EV -9.36%E -0.476%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 11:43
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -12.44%E -0.655%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -12.44%E -0.655%K -0.691%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -14.75%E -0.797%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:50
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:49
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:48
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:50
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 22:29
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -17.05%E -0.947%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 22:29
BetRivers1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -21.66%E -1.27%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 15:10
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -21.66%E -1.27%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 03:46
Betway1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -4.61%E -4.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -21.66%E -1.27%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 11:10
Bet Right1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -26.27%E -1.64%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 03:39
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -30.88%E -2.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 08:49
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -30.88%E -2.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 03:40
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -30.88%E -2.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 07:59
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -30.88%E -2.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -30.88%E -2.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 09:47
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -34.33%E -2.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 03:40
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.65%E -3.62%K -365.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -49.31%E -4.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 09:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 97.81%45.45I 2.20%NM 2.19%0.2%2026-05-28 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-28 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-28 09:40
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-28 09:40
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39%38.02I 2.63%NM 2.61%0.7%2026-05-28 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61%0.7%2026-05-28 09:50