مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-06-07 13:31 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.55%5.39السعر العادل
EV +11.30%
الأفضلية +1.88%
Kelly +2.26%
النمو +0.255%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.61%18.47%18.57%22.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.205.205.256.0023.81%19.24%19.05%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 81.45%1.23السعر العادل
EV +0.183%
الأفضلية +0.149%
Kelly +0.798%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.51%81.53%81.43%84.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.091.161.151.2391.74%86.23%86.58%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +11.30%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-07 13:30
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +11.30%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 13:29
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +11.30%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 13:29
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +11.30%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +11.30%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -7.96%E -7.05%K -61.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 13:30
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +11.30%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.59%E -8.64%K -87.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 13:29
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +6.66%E +1.16%K +1.40%G +0.093%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 13:30
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +3.88%E +0.693%K +0.844%G +0.033%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 13:29
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +3.88%E +0.693%K +0.844%G +0.033%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 13:29
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +3.88%E +0.693%K +0.844%G +0.033%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 13:29
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.88%E +0.693%K +0.844%G +0.033%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 13:29
Betsson5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +3.88%E +0.693%K +0.844%G +0.033%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:29
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +3.88%E +0.693%K +0.844%G +0.033%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +3.88%E +0.693%K +0.844%G +0.033%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -8.78%E -7.84%K -73.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 13:30
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +2.03%E +0.368%K +0.450%G +0.009%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 13:28
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +2.03%E +0.368%K +0.450%G +0.009%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.78%E -7.84%K -73.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-07 13:30
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +2.03%E +0.368%K +0.450%G +0.009%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.78%E -7.84%K -73.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-07 13:28
DraftKings5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +1.28%E +0.235%K +0.288%G +0.004%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.70%E -4.02%K -27.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-07 13:30
Fliff5.45I 18.35%NM 16.92%EV +1.10%E +0.201%K +0.247%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.08%EV -9.59%E -8.64%K -87.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-07 13:29
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.89%E -3.30%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 13:26
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.70%E -4.02%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 13:29
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 13:29
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 13:29
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 13:29
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -11.22%E -10.29%K -124.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-07 13:29
Fanatics5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -1.68%E -0.318%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 13:29
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -1.68%E -0.318%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 13:29
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.61%E -0.498%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 13:30
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.61%E -0.498%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 13:30
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.61%E -0.498%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 13:30
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -3.54%E -0.681%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.07%E -2.58%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 13:24
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.54%E -0.681%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.89%E -3.30%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 13:24
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -3.54%E -0.681%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -10.41%E -9.46%K -104.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-07 13:29
NordicBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 13:30
Pinnacle5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%EV -6.32%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%EV -1.45%E -1.19%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-07 13:30
BetOnline.ag5.01I 19.96%NM 19.32%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.68%EV -2.26%E -1.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 13:27
LowVig.ag5.01I 19.96%NM 19.32%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.68%EV -2.26%E -1.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 13:27
NetBet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.25%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.07%E -2.58%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 13:25
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.25%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.89%E -3.30%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 13:28
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.25%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 13:29
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.25%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 13:30
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.25%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 13:28
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.25%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 13:29
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.25%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.15%E -6.27%K -51.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 13:29
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.96%E -7.05%K -61.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.96%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.70%E -4.02%K -27.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 13:29
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.89%E -3.30%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 13:29
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.52%E -4.76%K -34.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-07 13:29
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -13.74%E -2.96%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.33%E -5.51%K -42.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-07 13:29
MyBookie.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.67%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.26%E -1.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 13:29
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.67%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.26%E -1.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 13:27
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -14.67%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.07%E -2.58%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 13:27
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.26%E -1.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:27
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.89%E -3.30%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 13:27
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -21.16%E -4.98%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -0.631%E -0.517%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 13:24
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -21.16%E -4.98%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -0.631%E -0.517%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 13:24
1xBet4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -21.35%E -5.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV +0.183%E +0.149%K +0.798%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-07 13:26
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -22.09%E -5.26%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.26%E -1.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 13:23
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-06-07 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-06-07 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-07 13:30
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-06-07 13:30
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-06-07 13:30
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 16.89%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.11%6.5%2026-06-07 13:29