La escuela de los momios

Alexander Blockx v Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Inicio: 2026-05-24 15:43 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Predicción 86.57%1.16momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -25.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.39%86.45%86.53%88.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.101.101.1292.59%91.09%90.91%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Visitante)

Predicción 13.43%7.45momio equitativo
EV +10.10%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.142%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.64%13.55%13.47%15.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.067.008.2016.67%14.17%14.29%12.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +10.10%E +1.23%K +1.40%G +0.142%4.8%2026-05-24 15:29
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +4.06%E +0.524%K +0.601%G +0.024%3.0%2026-05-24 15:28
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +4.06%E +0.524%K +0.601%G +0.024%3.8%2026-05-24 15:27
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:30
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:30
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:26
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:29
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:29
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:30
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:29
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:29
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:30
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:30
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:30
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 15:29
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.701%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -0.641%E -0.087%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 15:29
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -1.72%E -0.234%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -1.72%E -0.234%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:30
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -1.98%E -0.272%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:30
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -1.98%E -0.272%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -2.66%E -0.366%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.33%E -0.462%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.26%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -3.33%E -0.462%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 15:29
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.29%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.71%EV -5.34%E -0.758%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 15:29
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -5.61%E -0.798%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 15:30
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:30
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:29
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:30
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:29
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:29
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:29
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:29
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.01%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:29
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -6.68%E -0.962%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:29
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -8.70%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -9.37%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.37%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:29
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.37%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:30
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.37%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:29
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -11.38%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -11.38%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:30
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.04%E -2.71%K -25.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 15:29
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 15:30
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:30
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:30
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:30
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:30
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:16
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.73%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 15:30
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -13.40%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:30
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.90%E -3.52%K -35.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.44%E -3.24%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 15:30
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.44%E -3.24%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-05-24 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.42%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58%2.8%2026-05-24 15:30
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 88.34%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.66%3.8%2026-05-24 15:30