Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex de Minaur v Alexander Blockx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prévision 61.29%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%61.35%61.15%62.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.96%64.94%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.71%2.58cote équitable
EV -0.508%
Avantage -0.198%
Kelly -0.323%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.65%38.85%39.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.372.472.492.5742.19%40.42%40.16%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alex de Minaur (Local) : 61.29% ; Alexander Blockx (Visiteur) : 38.71%. Pour Alexander Blockx (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.58. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.57, pour une espérance de -0.508% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -1.94%E -1.21%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 16:10
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.55%E -1.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 18:20
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.55%E -1.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.17%E -2.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.06%E -0.813%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.06%E -0.813%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.70%E -2.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 18:07
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 18:00
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 18:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:58
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -5.54%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 02:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:10
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 16:45
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 16:00
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -6.84%E -4.50%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -0.508%E -0.198%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:40
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-26 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-26 15:10
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%1.8%2026-05-26 17:49
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-26 15:30