L’École des cotes

Alex de Minaur v Alexander Blockx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prévision 61.29%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%61.35%61.15%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.96%64.94%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.71%2.58cote équitable
EV -0.508%
Avantage -0.198%
Kelly -0.323%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.65%38.85%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.472.492.5742.19%40.42%40.16%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -1.94%E -1.21%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 16:10
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.55%E -1.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 18:20
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.55%E -1.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.17%E -2.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:10
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.06%E -0.813%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.06%E -0.813%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 16:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.70%E -2.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 18:07
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 18:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 18:00
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 17:00
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 17:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:58
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 18:20
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 18:00
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -5.54%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 18:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:09
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.62%E -3.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 08:40
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 02:37
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 17:30
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 16:45
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 16:00
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -6.84%E -4.50%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -0.508%E -0.198%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:40
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:39
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.46%E -4.94%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:29
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:40
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-26 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-26 15:10
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%1.8%2026-05-26 17:49
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-26 15:30