La scuola delle quote

Ugo Humbert v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Inizio: 2026-02-24 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 52.35%1.91quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.838%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.05%52.30%52.43%53.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.811.801.8857.80%55.29%55.56%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.65%2.10quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -3.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.51%47.70%47.57%48.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.982.002.0252.63%50.52%50.00%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -1.58%E -0.838%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-24 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 14:55
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 14:15
DraftKings1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.67%E -1.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 14:45
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.67%E -1.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 14:45
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 12:34
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 08:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 14:49
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 11:49
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.00%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 13:09
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 14:45
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 14:50
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 14:43
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 14:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 11:25
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.57%E -3.90%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 14:15
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 14:45
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 04:35
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 04:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 13:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 12:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 12:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:19
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:19
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 04:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 11:49
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.00%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 11:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.00%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 11:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.47%E -4.99%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 13:39
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.29%E -3.51%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.18%E -2.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 04:34
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.29%E -3.51%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.18%E -2.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 04:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 05:34
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 10:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.09%E -3.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 10:55
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -5.18%E -2.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 14:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-02-24 14:55