Idioma:Español
Tallon Griekspoor v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Predicción 29.72%3.36momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.77%29.59%31.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.64%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 70.28%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -5.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.90%70.23%70.41%72.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.3976.92%74.05%73.53%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 29.72%; Alexander Bublik (Visitante): 70.28%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.36. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.04%E +0.307%K +0.435%G +0.005% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.443%E -0.132%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -1.33%E -0.402%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.01%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 14:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.71%E -2.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.71%E -2.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.68%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -8.47%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -2.31%E -1.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 14:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-02-25 14:15 |