La escuela de los momios

Tallon Griekspoor v Alexander Bublik

Inicio: 2026-02-25 14:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Predicción 29.72%3.36momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.77%29.59%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.64%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Bublik (Visitante)

Predicción 70.28%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -5.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.90%70.23%70.41%72.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.3976.92%74.05%73.53%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.04%E +0.307%K +0.435%G +0.005%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 14:10
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.443%E -0.132%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 14:10
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -1.33%E -0.402%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 14:10
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 14:10
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:13
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 14:10
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.01%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 14:10
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 14:15
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 14:07
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 14:09
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 14:10
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 14:10
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 14:09
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 14:10
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 14:10
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.71%E -2.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 14:10
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.71%E -2.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 14:10
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 14:10
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:10
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 14:10
BetUS3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.68%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 14:09
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:10
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:09
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:10
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:10
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 14:10
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 14:10
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 14:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 14:09
DraftKings3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -8.47%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -2.31%E -1.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 14:15
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 14:10
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 14:08
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 14:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-02-25 14:15