Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andrey Rublev v Arthur Rinderknech

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 73.60%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -8.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%73.45%73.62%74.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.50%77.52%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.40%3.79cote équitable
EV -0.210%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.075%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%26.55%26.38%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.603.603.7830.77%27.77%27.78%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Andrey Rublev (Local) : 73.60% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 26.40%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.79. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.78, pour une espérance de -0.210% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.12%EV -2.85%E -2.16%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.88%EV -0.210%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-26 14:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 10:05
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.16%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.84%EV -5.75%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 09:34
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 08:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -1.53%E -0.410%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -2.85%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 14:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -2.85%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 08:34
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 08:34
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 08:34
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 06:29
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 08:54
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 06:39
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 05:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 05:44
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:25
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -5.49%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 05:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 09:59
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 04:24
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 14:35
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 14:45
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -2.85%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 05:45
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 05:44
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 07:14
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 14:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 08:54
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.628%K -0.860%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 14:46
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-02-26 14:55