L’École des cotes

Alexander Shevchenko v Karen Khachanov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV +0.716%
Avantage +0.166%
Kelly +0.217%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.02%23.41%23.40%25.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.024.004.3027.03%24.89%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.58%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -10.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.90%76.59%76.60%77.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.52%80.00%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.716%E +0.166%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.04%E -4.07%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 08:44
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.716%E +0.166%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 09:09
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -0.455%E -0.107%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.11%E -6.76%K -40.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 09:10
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.56%E -0.616%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 11:29
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.56%E -0.616%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 11:29
Pinnacle4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV -2.80%E -0.674%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -2.75%E -2.16%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-24 11:10
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.80%E -0.674%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.04%E -4.07%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 09:09
GTbets4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.03%E -0.732%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -5.04%E -4.07%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 11:29
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.04%E -4.07%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 09:05
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.72%K -25.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 09:09
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.72%K -25.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 09:09
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.72%K -25.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 23:50
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 09:30
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.11%E -6.76%K -40.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 11:29
DraftKings4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -5.14%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.51%E -2.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 09:44
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.14%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.04%E -4.07%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 09:05
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.14%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.81%E -4.72%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 08:40
1xBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 09:10
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 07:59
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:29
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:29
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:29
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:29
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:29
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 11:30
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 09:44
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 10:09
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 09:04
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 10:40
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 23:04
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 23:04
Fliff4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 09:09
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 05:34
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 09:09
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 04:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 08:39
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.28%E -3.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 09:25
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.04%E -4.07%K -21.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 15:20
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.04%E -4.07%K -21.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-02-24 11:24