Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vit Kopriva v Quentin Halys

Início: 2026-08-14 15:08 UTC

Final: Vit Kopriva 0–2 Quentin Halys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vit Kopriva (Local)

Previsão 31.04%3.22odd justa
EV +3.98%
Vantagem +1.19%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescimento +0.067%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.20%30.98%30.93%33.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.103.103.3535.71%32.28%32.26%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Quentin Halys (Visitante)

Previsão 68.96%1.45odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -2.47%
Kelly -8.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.99%69.02%69.07%71.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.63%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Vit Kopriva (Local): 31.04%; Quentin Halys (Visitante): 68.96%. Para Vit Kopriva (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.22. 20 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.98%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +3.98%E +1.19%K +1.69%G +0.067%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:14
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +2.74%E +0.827%K +1.19%G +0.032%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-14 14:55
SportsBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV +2.74%E +0.827%K +1.19%G +0.032%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -10.35%E -7.96%K -34.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:15
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 10:45
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:45
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:50
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.875%E +0.269%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 14:15
GTbets🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.677%E -0.211%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 03:50
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.677%E -0.211%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.677%E -0.211%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.35%E -7.96%K -34.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 14:15
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.677%E -0.211%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.35%E -7.96%K -34.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.16%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.16%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -3.16%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:59
ReBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:50
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:50
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 10:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:05
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:50
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:04
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:05
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:54
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 10:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 15:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:00
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:05
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 15:04
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 15:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-14 15:00
Novig◎3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%0.9%2026-08-14 15:05
ProphetX◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%1.4%2026-08-14 14:50