Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rinky Hijikata v Gael Monfils

Inizio: 2026-08-13 23:06 UTC

Finale: Rinky Hijikata 2–1 Gael Monfils

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rinky Hijikata (Casa)

Previsione 44.21%2.26quota equa
EV -0.518%
Vantaggio -0.230%
Kelly -0.414%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.31%44.13%44.23%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.202.2547.62%45.93%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Gael Monfils (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.79%1.79quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.55%55.87%55.77%57.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.681.671.7661.73%59.39%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rinky Hijikata (Casa): 44.21%; Gael Monfils (Trasferta): 55.79%. Per Rinky Hijikata (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.26. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.25, con un valore atteso del -0.518%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.518%E -0.230%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:49
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:50
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.93%E -1.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-13 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 18:50
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 22:04
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 22:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.63%E -5.94%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:44
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.06%E -1.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-13 22:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 22:34
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 22:45
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.84%E -4.09%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 16:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 16:04
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.27%E -2.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.93%E -1.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 22:55
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.27%E -2.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.27%E -2.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 22:49
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 22:59
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.93%E -1.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 22:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 23:00
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.09%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-13 23:00