Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Blockx v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-08-17 15:06 UTC

Final: Alexander Blockx 1–2 Flavio Cobolli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Previsão 52.41%1.91odd justa
EV -0.425%
Vantagem -0.223%
Kelly -0.472%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.26%52.40%52.37%53.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.811.811.9057.80%55.34%55.40%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 47.59%2.10odd justa
EV -0.533%
Vantagem -0.255%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.19%47.60%47.63%49.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.981.972.0953.48%50.62%50.76%47.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Blockx (Local): 52.41%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 47.59%. Para Alexander Blockx (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.90, com valor esperado de -0.425%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -0.425%E -0.223%K -0.472%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -8.62%E -4.49%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 15:00
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.72%E -3.43%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 13:24
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.533%E -0.255%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 15:04
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.34%E -2.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.34%E -2.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 14:45
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 11:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 09:30
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:55
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 11:39
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:39
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:39
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:40
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:39
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.14%E -2.84%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -5.14%E -2.84%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.29%E -2.66%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.14%E -2.84%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 19:45
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:48
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 12:05
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 10:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.72%E -3.43%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.72%E -3.43%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 10:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 10:44
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 10:45
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 10:49
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 14:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.19%E -3.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 11:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 14:45
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -11.00%E -5.88%K -12.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.76%E -4.41%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.29%E -4.73%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 19:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.29%E -4.73%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 19:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.29%E -4.73%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.62%E -4.49%K -9.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 15:04
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.33%E -5.40%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.33%E -5.40%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-08-17 15:05
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-17 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-17 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-17 15:05
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-08-17 15:05
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-08-17 15:05