Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Titouan Droguet v Felix Auger-Aliassime

2026-08-05 23:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Titouan Droguet (Local)

Predicción 21.92%4.56momio equitativo
EV +7.41%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.141%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%21.87%21.96%23.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.314.334.9026.67%23.20%23.09%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)

Predicción 78.08%1.28momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -13.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.22%78.13%78.04%80.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.221.2485.47%82.58%81.97%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Titouan Droguet (Local): 21.92%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante): 78.08%. Para Titouan Droguet (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.56. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.41%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +7.41%E +1.51%K +1.90%G +0.141%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 19:30
FanDuel4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +6.32%E +1.30%K +1.64%G +0.104%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -7.09%E -5.95%K -37.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 19:30
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +4.13%E +0.869%K +1.10%G +0.045%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.837%E +0.182%K +0.233%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 09:59
LowVig.ag4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.916%E -0.203%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:05
BetOnline.ag4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -0.916%E -0.203%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.35%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 14:58
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.35%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.52%E -4.57%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 09:59
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.35%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.52%E -4.57%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.35%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 09:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.35%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.65%E -7.39%K -50.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 19:30
Pinnacle4.47I 22.37%NM 21.58%EV -2.01%E -0.450%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.42%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 14:35
1xBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.45%E -0.551%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 12:05
GTbets4.43I 22.57%NM 21.03%EV -2.89%E -0.652%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.97%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 09:29
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.52%E -4.57%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 12:00
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:29
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:29
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:29
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:29
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:29
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:30
DraftKings4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.08%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:14
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -5.08%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.52%E -4.57%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 09:30
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.08%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 09:30
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.52%E -4.57%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:58
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.52%E -4.57%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 09:30
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 09:29
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 09:30
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 10:29
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:50
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 09:29
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 13:09
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:50
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 12:15
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 09:55
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 09:24
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 09:33
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 09:29
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 09:30
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.87%E -6.67%K -43.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 22:20
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.12%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 09:35
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.12%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.09%E -5.95%K -37.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.18%E -2.57%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 09:25
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.18%E -2.57%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 09:25
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:39
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:15
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 09:29
betano_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.25%K -31.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 09:28
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -17.80%E -4.75%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.65%E -7.39%K -50.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 09:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-08-04 23:50
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-08-05 00:05
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.6%2026-08-05 00:05