Idioma:Español
Luca Van Assche v Titouan Droguet
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luca Van Assche (Local)
Predicción 51.67%1.94momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.57%51.70%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.841.851.8855.56%54.26%54.05%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Titouan Droguet (Visitante)
Predicción 48.33%2.07momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.43%48.30%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.871.951.952.0153.48%51.23%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Luca Van Assche (Local): 51.67%; Titouan Droguet (Visitante): 48.33%. Para Luca Van Assche (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.94. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.88, con un valor esperado de -2.85%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.87%E -1.43%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.63%E -5.15%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.89%E -2.09%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.18%E -4.31%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.18%E -4.31%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.73%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -2.87%E -1.43%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 13:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 13:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.80%E -2.44%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.18%E -4.31%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |