Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov v Terence Atmane

2026-08-05 19:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

61%

39%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Predicción 60.58%1.65momio equitativo

EV -3.07%

Ventaja -1.92%

Kelly -5.11%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

59.49%60.65%60.61%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.501.561.571.6066.67%64.04%63.69%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Predicción 39.42%2.54momio equitativo

EV -1.46%

Ventaja -0.583%

Kelly -0.972%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

37.97%39.35%39.39%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.252.392.382.5044.44%41.79%42.02%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karen Khachanov (Local): 60.58%; Terence Atmane (Visitante): 39.42%. Para Terence Atmane (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.54. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, con un valor esperado de -1.46%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Coolbet	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.11%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-05 07:55
Dabble (AU)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.11%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-05 07:40
1xBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-05 07:55
Hard Rock Bet	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-05 08:00
Marathon Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 08:10
Virgin Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 07:15
PlayUp	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-05 07:35
Fanatics	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-05 07:34
Bovada	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-05 07:56
Betsson	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-05 07:35
NordicBet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-05 07:34
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-05 07:35
betfred_uk	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:34
William Hill	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:05
888sport	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:00
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:35
Mr Green (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 06:59
888sport (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:14
Casumo	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
TABtouch	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet (NL)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
Grosvenor	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
BetRivers	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
Bally Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
Svenska Spel	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
ATG (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
betPARX	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-05 07:15
Betr (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-05 07:35
PointsBet (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-05 07:35
Unibet (UK)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-05 07:35
Winamax (DE)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-05 07:35
Betclic (FR)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.79%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-05 07:45
PMU (FR)	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.55%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-05 07:14
Betway	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-05 07:35
LeoVegas	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-05 07:30
ReBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-05 07:35
Unibet (FR)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-05 07:35
DraftKings	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.972%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-05 07:35
SportsBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-05 07:34
FanDuel	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-05 07:34
Sky Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.972%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-05 07:04
Paddy Power	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-05 07:35
betano_uk	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-05 07:35
Bet Victor	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-05 07:34
Tipico (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.91%E -5.21%K -15.22%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-05 07:35
GTbets	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -8.52%E -5.64%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-05 07:35
Winamax (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-08-05 07:35

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%	0.6%	2026-08-05 08:05
Matchbook	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%	1.9%	2026-08-05 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%	2.3%	2026-08-05 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%	2.3%	2026-08-05 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%	2.3%	2026-08-05 08:05
Smarkets	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%	9.6%	2026-08-05 08:10