Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima v Titouan Droguet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-06 23:59 UTC

Score final : Brandon Nakashima 2–1 Titouan Droguet

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prévision 75.81%1.32cote équitable
EV +0.832%
Avantage +0.626%
Kelly +2.52%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.88%75.56%76.19%78.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.261.3382.64%79.30%79.37%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Titouan Droguet (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.19%4.13cote équitable
EV +6.42%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.121%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.85%24.44%23.81%28.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.853.844.4029.41%26.00%26.01%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 75.81% ; Titouan Droguet (Visiteur) : 24.19%. Pour Titouan Droguet (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.13. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +6.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -6.75%E -5.49%K -29.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +6.42%E +1.46%K +1.89%G +0.121%4.0%2026-08-06 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.58%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.42%EV +5.45%E +1.25%K +1.62%G +0.088%2.3%2026-08-06 23:41
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.75%E -5.49%K -29.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +2.79%E +0.657%K +0.859%G +0.024%4.8%2026-08-06 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.99%E -4.83%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.373%E +0.090%K +0.118%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:45
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.72%E -2.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.836%E -0.204%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 23:36
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.836%E -0.204%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.32%E -0.324%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:46
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.05%E -0.505%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:20
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.01%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:45
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:40
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:25
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:46
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:45
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:46
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:20
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:45
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:43
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.99%E -4.83%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 23:45
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.51%E -6.15%K -34.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.51%E -6.15%K -34.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.25%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.72%E -2.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.99%E -4.83%K -24.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.46%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:45
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -1.44%E -1.11%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -6.64%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 23:45
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.27%E -6.83%K -39.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.12%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:46
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.72%E -2.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.72%E -2.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.20%E -1.71%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.30%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 23:31
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.72%E -2.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.30%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:45
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 21:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 22:36
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:31
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:31
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:31
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 15:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.51%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 15:34
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 22:20
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.23%E -4.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -14.14%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 22:10
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.35%E -4.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.96%E -2.31%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.35%E -4.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +0.832%E +0.626%K +2.52%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -17.77%E -5.23%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 12:00
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.20%E -1.71%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.77%E -5.23%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-08-06 23:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-08-06 23:36
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38%0.4%2026-08-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-06 23:46
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-06 23:46
ProphetX◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-08-06 23:41
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.4%2026-08-06 23:46