Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexis Galarneau v Vit Kopriva

Início: 2026-08-03 17:03 UTC

Final: Alexis Galarneau 0–2 Vit Kopriva

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexis Galarneau (Local)

Previsão 52.14%1.92odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.06%52.14%52.09%53.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.811.811.8856.50%55.17%55.25%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vit Kopriva (Visitante)

Previsão 47.86%2.09odd justa
EV -0.449%
Vantagem -0.216%
Kelly -0.415%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.11%47.86%47.91%48.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.982.002.0852.36%50.50%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexis Galarneau (Local): 52.14%; Vit Kopriva (Visitante): 47.86%. Para Vit Kopriva (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.08, com valor esperado de -0.449%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.98%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.54%E -1.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.36%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 16:20
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.54%E -1.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.54%E -1.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.54%E -1.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.06%E -2.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.06%E -2.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 05:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.76%E -2.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 08:30
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.76%E -2.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.63%E -3.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:35
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.88%E -0.919%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 15:54
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 08:29
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 14:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 22:34
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 15:59
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 14:09
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.19%E -3.16%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.19%E -3.16%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:10
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:54
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.15%E -3.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.449%E -0.216%K -0.415%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.449%E -0.216%K -0.415%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 15:05
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.71%E -4.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -5.71%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.71%E -4.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 03:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-03 16:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-03 16:55
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%0.9%2026-08-03 16:50
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-03 16:44
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-03 16:50