La escuela de los momios

Toronto FC v FC Cincinnati

Inicio: 2026-04-11 17:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto FC (Local)

Predicción 38.65%2.59momio equitativo
EV -0.665%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.424%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.57%38.63%40.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.382.402.5744.84%41.95%41.67%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Cincinnati (Visitante)

Predicción 34.74%2.88momio equitativo
EV +0.045%
Ventaja +0.016%
Kelly +0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.99%34.80%34.77%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.09%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.61%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.210%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.31%26.63%26.60%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.71%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV +0.045%E +0.016%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -2.87%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV +0.045%E +0.016%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -2.87%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 17:04
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV +0.045%E +0.016%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -2.87%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 17:05
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV +0.045%E +0.016%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -2.87%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -10.33%E -4.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -0.997%E -0.350%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -10.33%E -4.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -0.997%E -0.350%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:05
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -10.33%E -4.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -0.997%E -0.350%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:05
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -10.33%E -4.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -0.997%E -0.350%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:05
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -10.33%E -4.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -0.997%E -0.350%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:05
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -10.33%E -4.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -0.997%E -0.350%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:04
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.45%EV -2.73%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.65%EV -3.67%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.45%EV -2.73%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.65%EV -3.67%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 17:05
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -10.33%E -4.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -2.73%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:05
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:04
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:05
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:04
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.87%E -5.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 17:05
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 17:05
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -4.92%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.58%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.05%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:05
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 38.60%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.50%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:03
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.60%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.50%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:01
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 38.60%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.50%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.51%E -2.03%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:04
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.51%E -2.03%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 17:04
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.79%EV -0.665%E -0.259%K -0.424%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 16:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -0.210%E -0.056%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:59
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:04
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 38.68%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.36%EV -4.73%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 16:59
MyBookie.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -2.87%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 17:03
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:03
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:58
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 17:05
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:04
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 17:03
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -13.81%E -6.19%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 17:05
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -13.81%E -6.19%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.25%E -2.72%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:58
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.94%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.94%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 17:05
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 17:04
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.68%E -3.72%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:05
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.68%E -3.72%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.68%E -3.72%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 17:05
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.68%E -3.72%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 17:05
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -11.42%E -4.48%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -11.42%E -4.48%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 17:01
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -8.40%E -3.54%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 17:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -8.40%E -3.54%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 17:04
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.17%E -6.72%K -10.08%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-11 17:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.42%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%2.7%2026-04-11 17:05
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.56%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.99%2.9%2026-04-11 17:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-11 17:05