Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis City SC v Toronto FC

2026-09-20 00:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis City SC (Local)

Predicción 54.88%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -4.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.68%54.89%54.85%56.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.681.671.7664.10%59.66%59.88%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto FC (Visitante)

Predicción 22.27%4.49momio equitativo
EV +2.42%
Ventaja +0.526%
Kelly +0.673%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%22.22%22.27%23.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.194.204.6027.03%23.87%23.81%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.85%4.38momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.406%
Kelly -0.529%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.15%22.89%22.88%23.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.014.004.3026.67%24.96%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: St. Louis City SC (Local): 54.88%; Toronto FC (Visitante): 22.27%; Empate: 22.85%. Para Toronto FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.49. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.42%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.37%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV +2.42%E +0.526%K +0.673%G +0.016%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.680%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.37%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV +2.42%E +0.526%K +0.673%G +0.016%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.680%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.37%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV +2.42%E +0.526%K +0.673%G +0.016%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.680%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +0.195%E +0.043%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 01:25
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.03%E -0.462%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.03%E -0.462%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.03%E -0.462%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 01:15
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.03%E -0.462%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.03%E -0.462%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.03%E -0.462%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.03%E -0.462%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 03:40
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.40%E -1.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV -4.26%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV -1.75%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 01:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.26%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.75%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 03:25
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.26%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -6.32%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:46
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.26%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.03%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 01:05
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.26%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.03%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%EV -8.89%E -5.36%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -4.26%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 01:15
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.48%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -4.94%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.48%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 01:45
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.48%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -8.89%E -5.36%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -6.48%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -9.44%E -5.72%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.48%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 01:15
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -9.44%E -5.72%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.48%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -9.99%E -6.09%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -6.48%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -7.60%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -5.17%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 01:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -7.24%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.71%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 01:00
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.71%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 03:49
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.71%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 03:49
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.07%EV -11.09%E -6.84%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -8.71%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -12.03%E -3.12%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 03:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 02:26
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 02:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 02:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 02:26
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 01:20
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 00:59
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.31%E -3.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.31%E -3.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.31%E -3.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 01:46
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.34%E -5.00%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.94%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.31%E -3.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 01:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%EV -10.54%E -6.47%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.41%EV -11.38%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 00:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.23%EV -14.38%E -9.22%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -13.16%E -3.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -13.17%E -3.47%K -4.70%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-13 01:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -11.09%E -6.84%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -16.50%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -10.89%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 03:56
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.95%EV -12.18%E -7.62%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.33%EV -17.62%E -4.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.17%E -3.47%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 04:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-09-13 02:21
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 54.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%13.3%2026-09-13 01:01