La escuela de los momios

Sporting Kansas City v San Jose Earthquakes

Inicio: 2026-04-12 00:30 UTC

Final: Sporting Kansas City 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sporting Kansas City (Local)

Predicción 23.36%4.28momio equitativo
EV +9.81%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +2.65%
Crecimiento +0.260%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.30%23.17%23.35%24.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.124.004.7027.78%24.27%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Jose Earthquakes (Visitante)

Predicción 54.53%1.83momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.97%54.68%54.56%57.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.691.711.7863.69%59.15%58.65%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV +1.70%
Ventaja +0.370%
Kelly +0.473%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.95%22.15%22.08%23.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.984.224.224.6025.13%23.72%23.67%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV +9.81%E +2.09%K +2.65%G +0.260%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:19
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV +9.81%E +2.09%K +2.65%G +0.260%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:20
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV +9.81%E +2.09%K +2.65%G +0.260%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:20
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV +9.81%E +2.09%K +2.65%G +0.260%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:20
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +7.48%E +1.63%K +2.08%G +0.155%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:20
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +7.48%E +1.63%K +2.08%G +0.155%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:19
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +7.48%E +1.63%K +2.08%G +0.155%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:20
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +7.48%E +1.63%K +2.08%G +0.155%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:19
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +7.48%E +1.63%K +2.08%G +0.155%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:19
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +7.48%E +1.63%K +2.08%G +0.155%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:20
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV +7.48%E +1.63%K +2.08%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -12.21%E -7.59%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:00
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +5.14%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.075%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -11.12%E -6.82%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:20
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV +5.14%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.075%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -12.76%E -7.97%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:20
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.80%E +0.637%K +0.825%G +0.023%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 00:00
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV +2.80%E +0.637%K +0.825%G +0.023%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -14.39%E -9.17%K -25.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 00:20
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV +1.64%E +0.376%K +0.488%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -14.39%E -9.17%K -25.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 00:19
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV +1.64%E +0.376%K +0.488%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -14.39%E -9.17%K -25.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 00:20
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV +0.467%E +0.109%K +0.142%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.25%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -0.507%E -0.113%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:05
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV +0.467%E +0.109%K +0.142%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:01
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -0.701%E -0.165%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.37%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV +1.70%E +0.370%K +0.473%G +0.008%3.7%2026-04-12 00:00
GTbets4.19I 23.87%NM 22.70%EV -2.10%E -0.502%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.67%EV -2.94%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:50
Pinnacle4.18I 23.92%NM 23.12%EV -2.34%E -0.559%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.03%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:10
LowVig.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 23.27%EV -3.04%E -0.732%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.12%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV +0.598%E +0.131%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.5%2026-04-12 00:20
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.21%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -3.82%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:20
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.72%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.38%EV -2.94%E -1.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -2.28%E -0.515%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 00:19
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.37%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -5.12%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:00
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:20
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.12%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 00:05
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.22%E -3.61%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:19
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 00:04
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -7.85%E -4.65%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -2.72%E -0.618%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 00:20
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.27%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 00:20
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:04
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:19
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.54%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 00:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.71%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.91%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:20
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.71%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.91%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:20
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -7.71%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -5.12%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 00:19
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 00:19
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 00:20
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 00:20
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.22%E -3.61%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:20
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -6.76%E -3.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:20
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:20
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:19
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:19
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:20
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:05
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 20:05
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -9.49%E -5.71%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.47%EV -12.00%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 00:03
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.38%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 00:00
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.38%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -9.49%E -5.71%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 00:05
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.89%E -4.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.94%E -5.35%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 00:04
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -15.89%E -4.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 00:20
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 00:20
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-04-12 00:20
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-04-12 00:20