La escuela de los momios

Sporting Kansas City v San Diego FC

Inicio: 2026-03-08 01:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sporting Kansas City (Local)

Predicción 23.81%4.20momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.280%
Kelly +0.367%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.54%23.84%23.79%25.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.943.994.2528.57%25.39%25.06%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego FC (Visitante)

Predicción 53.06%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.57%53.03%53.12%54.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.741.751.8463.29%57.39%57.14%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.13%4.32momio equitativo
EV +0.840%
Ventaja +0.193%
Kelly +0.250%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.16%23.14%23.09%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.004.004.3628.57%25.03%25.00%22.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +1.19%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.41%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +1.19%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.41%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 01:00
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +1.19%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.41%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:59
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +1.19%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.41%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 01:00
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -1.19%E -0.287%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 01:20
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -1.19%E -0.287%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 01:19
1xBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.37%E -1.29%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 01:25
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.66%EV -3.55%E -0.852%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 22:30
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:00
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 00:59
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:00
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:00
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:00
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:00
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -8.73%E -5.08%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:59
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -8.73%E -5.08%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 01:00
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:00
Pinnacle4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -3.33%E -0.821%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -3.43%E -1.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV -3.09%E -0.738%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 01:20
LowVig.ag4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -3.57%E -0.882%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.16%EV +0.840%E +0.193%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.5%2026-03-08 01:09
BetOnline.ag4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -3.57%E -0.882%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.16%EV +0.840%E +0.193%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.5%2026-03-08 01:10
GTbets4.02I 24.88%NM 23.69%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.49%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -5.87%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:24
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -4.49%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 12:05
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 16:24
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 16:24
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:40
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:40
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:48
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.26%E -5.42%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:40
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 00:39
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.24%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:04
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -5.95%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -11.92%E -7.18%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -5.95%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -11.92%E -7.18%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 00:34
MyBookie.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.75%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 12:04
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.49%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 01:04
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 01:22
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 01:25
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 01:19
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.33%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 01:04
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.33%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 01:00
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.33%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -9.26%E -5.42%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 01:20
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.90%E -1.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:19
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.49%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 01:19
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 00:39
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.08%E -3.44%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 01:04
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 01:20
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 01:19
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 01:19
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Betclic (FR)3.68I 27.17%NM 24.27%EV -12.38%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.53%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 01:03
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.09%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:04
Parions Sport (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -13.09%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.42%EV -10.33%E -6.11%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 01:05
Unibet (FR)3.62I 27.62%NM 24.27%EV -13.81%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.61%EV -11.39%E -6.82%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 12:09
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -11.39%E -6.82%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 00:39
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -16.67%E -4.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.89%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.91%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 12:05
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.72%EV -16.67%E -4.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.55%EV -16.16%E -10.23%K -27.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.72%EV -19.05%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-08 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-08 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-08 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-08 01:20
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-08 01:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-03-08 01:20
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%2.3%2026-03-08 01:25