La escuela de los momios

San Diego FC v Real Salt Lake

Inicio: 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego FC (Local)

Predicción 52.42%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.88%52.33%52.60%55.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.771.771.8561.73%56.49%56.50%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Real Salt Lake (Visitante)

Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV +5.85%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.101%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.04%24.15%23.98%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.843.904.4028.99%26.02%25.64%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.52%4.25momio equitativo
EV -0.267%
Ventaja -0.063%
Kelly -0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.67%23.52%23.42%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.944.004.2430.30%25.36%25.00%23.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.09%EV -7.74%E -4.40%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV +5.85%E +1.33%K +1.72%G +0.101%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.87%EV -0.267%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 22:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -5.12%E -2.83%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -0.165%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -2.38%E -0.574%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -5.12%E -2.83%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -0.165%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -2.38%E -0.574%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 22:35
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -6.69%E -3.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -0.165%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 22:50
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -5.12%E -2.83%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.63%EV -1.61%E -0.393%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.96%EV -0.972%E -0.231%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.53%EV -4.07%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 22:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.53%EV -4.07%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 22:55
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.53%EV -4.07%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 22:55
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.53%EV -4.07%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 22:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.07%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 22:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 22:35
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 22:44
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -7.21%E -4.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.56%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 22:54
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -4.07%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 22:36
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.77%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 22:45
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -6.69%E -3.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -2.38%E -0.574%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 22:55
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.21%E -4.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.74%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.21%E -4.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.74%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:54
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.74%E -4.40%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 22:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.21%E -0.287%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.17%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:54
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.17%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.17%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:55
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.17%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:55
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.17%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:55
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.17%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:55
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.69%E -3.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 22:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.21%E -4.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:34
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 22:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 22:50
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.27%EV -5.12%E -2.83%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.32%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.42%EV -4.97%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 22:34
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.07%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -7.38%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.21%E -0.287%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 22:44
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.38%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 22:55
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.21%E -4.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:49
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 22:10
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 22:34
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 22:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 22:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 22:34
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -10.36%E -6.06%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -10.36%E -6.06%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.02%EV -8.79%E -5.05%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 22:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -12.19%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 22:35
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -6.69%E -3.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -12.19%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -7.74%E -4.40%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.91%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:35
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:35
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.88%E -6.40%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.62%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 22:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -9.31%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -22.38%E -6.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-22 22:19
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.65%EV -7.74%E -4.40%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.25%EV -15.08%E -4.27%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -12.97%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.78%EV -11.93%E -7.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 24.71%EV -15.32%E -4.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -12.97%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 22:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -11.93%E -7.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.97%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 22:45
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.93%EV -15.08%E -9.31%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -15.80%E -4.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -17.67%E -5.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-22 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -10.88%E -6.40%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -17.00%E -4.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -9.44%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 22:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-03-22 22:55
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 53.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.14%3.9%2026-03-22 22:55